Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 8.025205 9.177977 10.451689 11.965717 13.719366 15.690216 18.078038
2025-07-13 6.646659 8.180747 10.014492 12.376849 15.352438 18.992877 23.809953
2025-07-20 5.782010 7.502843 9.680240 12.655347 16.642293 21.839301 29.189869
2025-07-27 5.249606 7.113344 9.584494 13.129828 18.133485 25.013721 35.312755
2025-08-03 4.592173 6.449734 9.010359 12.837263 18.479291 26.597188 39.353052
2025-08-10 4.101118 5.946130 8.578933 12.660173 18.918185 28.299649 43.707842
2025-08-17 3.701153 5.522245 8.203400 12.499946 19.328752 29.959243 48.147962
2025-08-24 3.355701 5.139184 7.840935 12.304415 19.637052 31.457611 52.468694
2025-08-31 3.049924 4.784137 7.481108 12.063948 19.827414 32.757003 56.576605
2025-09-07 2.937695 4.721491 7.570618 12.553319 21.264312 36.267521 64.951738
2025-09-14 2.768766 4.549100 7.462463 12.692956 22.104815 38.823863 71.904359
2025-09-21 2.586833 4.337622 7.267692 12.658118 22.622581 40.843527 78.080465
2025-09-28 2.399054 4.102969 7.017476 12.508375 22.929704 42.536323 83.905150
2025-10-05 2.318175 4.047348 7.073421 12.918962 24.326442 46.445801 94.731252
2025-10-12 2.225765 3.962287 7.067446 13.209589 25.517179 50.079116 105.475292
2025-10-19 2.169008 3.936574 7.165832 13.706529 27.165174 54.814703 119.269098
2025-10-26 2.012011 3.710969 6.871070 13.400071 27.137961 56.061032 125.400852
2025-11-02 1.884239 3.530686 6.647580 13.214586 27.340808 57.812926 132.935133
2025-11-09 1.769619 3.366865 6.442544 13.046771 27.561064 59.620933 140.848379
2025-11-16 1.660519 3.205592 6.229614 12.841992 27.676885 61.202067 148.420776
2025-11-23 1.555394 3.044491 6.004481 12.590168 27.659818 62.471271 155.378986
2025-11-30 1.534496 3.052549 6.125330 13.102671 29.443986 68.184445 174.758230
2025-12-07 1.479235 2.985356 6.083779 13.248922 30.384273 71.967897 189.544943